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The Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences № 4/2026. World Economy and international economic relations. 

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Veronika Yu. Chernova

Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Leading Researcher, Institute of Economics of the RAS, Moscow, Russia

ORCID: 0000-0001-5951-9091

 

THE MIDDLE EAST CRISIS AND FOOD SECURITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE EAEU AGRICULTURAL AND FOOD SECURITY COMPLEX

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This article analyzes the impact of the 2026 Middle East crisis on international food security and the channels through which this shock is transmitted to food parameters in the EAEU. The research methodological framework includes an index assessment of price dynamics (consumer price inflation indices for food), the calculation of per capita production coefficients, and a method for constructing multivariate matrix scenarios to assess the probabilistic impact of cascading external shocks on logistics and food security in the studied macro region. It is shown that the overall impact for the EAEU is ambiguous: for the EAEU, as a net exporter of grain, oil, and fertilizer, new export opportunities are opening up, but at the same time, inflation and logistics risks are increasing, and the importance of technological and infrastructure cooperation within the Union, as well as foreign trade diversification, is growing. The study’s originality lies in its seamless synthesis of a retrospective analysis of the EAEU’s agricultural sector development with the integration of the latest empirical data from the first quarter of 2026, reflecting the reaction of global markets to the disruption of Middle East trade routes. This allows the author not only to assess the current state of the industry but also to identify the underlying mechanisms by which EAEU economies absorb external shocks.

Keywords: food security, EAEU, Middle East, energy shock, fertilizers, maritime logistics, food inflation, scenarios.

JEL: F15, F51, Q11, Q18, Q17

EDN: UIUQFQ

DOI: https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_4_176_197

References

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Manuscript submission date: 11.06.2026

Manuscript acceptance date: 13.08.2026

 

For citation:

Chernova V.Yu. The Middle East crisis and food security: implications for the EAEU agricultural and food security complex // Vestnik Instituta Ekonomiki Rossiyskoy Akademii Nauk. 2026. № 4. Pp. 176-197. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_4_176_197 EDN: UIUQFQ

  Creative Commons 4.0

The Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences № 4/2026. World Economy and international economic relations. 

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Aza (Azganush) A. Mihranyan

Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Head of the Economic Research Sector, Primakov National Research Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the RAS, Moscow, Russia;

Head of the Department of Political Economy named after V.F. Stanis, Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia named after P. Lumumba (RUDN University), Moscow, Russia

ORCID: 0000-0001-6014-5955

 

Andrei I. Litvinov

Postgraduate Student of the Department of International Economic Relations, Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia named after P. Lumumba (RUDN University), Moscow, Russia

ORCID: 0000-0003-2633-3850

 

TRANSFORMATION OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE PARADIGMS AND FORMATION OF SANCTIONS-RESILIENT LOGISTICS IN THE “RUSSIA – CENTRAL ASIA” SYSTEM

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The article examines how the sanctions shocks of 2022-2024 and the transition to a polycentric model of the world economy are reshaping theoretical approaches to international trade and the practical organization of logistics. The authors point out that the new emerging paradigm of international trade in Eurasia is characterized by a synthesis of elements of logistics protectionism, the theory of geoeconomic corridors, and the concept of sanctions resilience. The methodology of the study combines a critical review of classical theories (from Ricardo to Krugman), a quantitative assessment of structural shifts in Russia’s trade with Central Asian countries over 2010–2024, and a SWOT analysis of the region’s logistics infrastructure. The analysis of empirical data reveals a divergent transformation: on the one hand, industrial cooperation is deepening; on the other, Central Asia is emerging as a re-export hub. The key finding is that overcoming the contradiction between growing transit potential and infrastructure constraints requires a coordinated strategy of logistics sovereignty. The research findings can serve as a theoretical and applied basis for developing economic security policies and transport corridors in Eurasia.

Keywords: international trade, logistics protectionism, sanctions-resilient logistics, geo-economic corridors, economic sanctions, transport corridors, Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), Central Asia, logistics sovereignty, re-export, SWOT analysis.

JEL: F51, L91, R40

EDN: SWNBZE

DOI: https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_4_157_175

References

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Manuscript submission date: 08.06.2026

Manuscript acceptance date: 13.08.2026

 

For citation:

Mihranyan A.A., Litvinov A.I. Transformation of international trade paradigms and formation of sanctions resilient logistics in the “Russia–Central Asia” system // Vestnik Instituta Ekonomiki Rossiyskoy Akademii Nauk. 2026. № 4 Pp. 157-175. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_4_157_175 EDN: SWNBZE

  Creative Commons 4.0

The Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences № 3/2026. World Economy and international economic relations. 

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Anna S. Garaeva

Master’s and Postgraduate Student of the Integrated Track, Engineer of the Department of Political Economy, Faculty of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia

ORCID: 0009-0006-4880-5707

 

NEW IMPERATIVES OF THE US GREEN INDUSTRIAL POLICY

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The article analyzes the development of green industrial policy as a new form of industrial policy that integrates environmental sustainability objectives with technological development. It systematizes contemporary approaches to defining the concept of «green» industrial policy, its goals, implementation mechanisms, institutions and instruments. The United States is examined as a key case of a large-scale national model of green industrial policy. The study identifies a recent transformation in the US policy framework, marked by a transition from the infrastructure phase of support for «green» industries, focused on large-scale subsidies and demand stimulation, which was characteristic of President J. Biden, to a market model that makes greater use of competition mechanisms, which will be implemented under President D. Trump (since 2025). The analysis demonstrates that this shift does not represent a rollback of the green agenda but rather the emergence of a new phase in which subsidies are time-limited and green industries are expected to remain competitive without long-term state support. The article concludes that environmental objectives are increasingly embedded within the processes of structural economic transformation.

Keywords: green industrial policy, structural transformation, environmental regulation, decarbonization, technological sovereignty, Inflation Reduction Act, One Big Beautiful Bill Act.

JEL: F50, L52, O25

EDN: GAUJSW

DOI: https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_3_179_201

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Manuscript submission date: 10.02.2026

Manuscript acceptance date: 28.05.2026

 

For citation:

Garaeva A.S. New imperatives of the US green industrial policy // Vestnik Instituta Ekonomiki Rossiyskoy Akademii Nauk. 2026. № 3. Pp. 179-201. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_3_179_201 EDN: GAUJSW

  Creative Commons 4.0

The Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences № 4/2026. World Economy and international economic relations. 

.xmlJATS XML

Valery L. Abramov

Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Chief Researcher, Institute for Research of International Economic Relations, Financial University Under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia

ORCID: 0000-0002-6351-2594

 

Irina N. Abanina

Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor of the Department of International Business of the Faculty of International Economic Relations, Leading Researcher, Institute for Research of International Economic Relations, Financial University Under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia

ORCID: 0000-0002-0449-5894

 

ASSESSMENT OF THE POSSIBILITIES OF INCREASING RUSSIAN NON-RESOURCE NON-ENERGY EXPORTS TO THE BRICS+ MARKETS

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The article presents the results of the assessment of the dynamics of Russia’s non-resource non-energy exports to the BRICS+ countries for the period from 2015 to 2024, based on mirror statistics from partner countries. It has been established that most of these countries represent unstable markets with volatile demand dynamics. Countries with significant potential for increasing Russian non-resource non-energy exports are identified. The study identifies the characteristics of the trade structure and the sustainability of export flows, and highlights priority areas for trade cooperation. A correlation analysis is used to demonstrate the relationship between the import of Russian non-resource non-energy exports by each BRICS+ country and variables such as the oil price, GDP of these countries, and trade complementarity with Russia. However, the strength of these relationships and their nature vary across countries. It has been established that significant factors in the demand for Russian non-resource non-energy exports are the dynamics of the importing country’s GDP and the situation on the global oil market. Based on the results of the study of the dynamics of non-resource non-energy import volumes from Russia to the BRICS+ countries, a number of recommendations for increasing supplies to these markets are proposed.

Keywords: non-resource non-energy exports, BRICS+, exports and imports, non-resource non-energy goods, trade complementarity index.

JEL: F14

EDN: PDDINE

DOI: https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_4_134_156

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Manuscript submission date: 09.06.2026

Manuscript acceptance date: 13.08.2026

 

For citation:

Abramov V.L., Abanina I.N. Assessment of the possibilities of increasing Russian non-resource non-energy exports to the BRICS+ markets // Vestnik Instituta Ekonomiki Rossiyskoy Akademii Nauk. 2026. № 4. Pp. 134-156. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_4_134_156 EDN: PDDINE

  Creative Commons 4.0

The Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences № 3/2026. World Economy and international economic relations. 

.xmlJATS XML

Alena А. Milashevich

Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Head of the Social and Consumer Services Sector, Institute of Economics of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, Minsk, Republic of Belarus

ORCID: 0009-0002-3277-8274

 

REGULATING FOREIGN TRADE IN SERVICES: THE EXPERIENCE OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS

Размер файла157-178
Размер файла  477.59KB Размер файла Full text

This article examines the experience of the Republic of Belarus in regulating foreign trade in services. It analyzes the key multilateral regulatory acts within the GATS Agreement and the main documents of the national regulatory system that define the rules for international trade in services in the Republic of Belarus. The article systematizes: a) medical, educational, and tourism services in the Republic of Belarus depending on the delivery method; b) trade policy instruments for foreign trade in medical services; and c) types of restrictions on trade in services within the EAEU. Problems in regulating foreign trade in services are identified, and practical recommendations for each level of regulation are proposed for their solution.

Keywords: Republic of Belarus, foreign trade in services, government regulation, delivery methods, service exports, medical services, educational services, tourism services, restrictions, bilateral agreements.

JEL: F10, F42, K30

EDN: TQGPUO

DOI: https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_3_157_178

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Manuscript submission date: 11.02.2026

Manuscript acceptance date: 28.05.2026

 

For citation:

Milashevich A.A. Regulating foreign trade in services: the experience of the Republic of Belarus // Vestnik Instituta Ekonomiki Rossiyskoy Akademii Nauk. 2026. № 3. Pp. 157-178. (In Russ.). https://doi.org/10.52180/2073-6487_2026_3_157_178 EDN: TQGPUO

  Creative Commons 4.0

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