№ 6/2024  Full text

Date of placement: 14.12.2024

 

 

ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT

 

N.Yu. Akhapkin

STRUCTURAL DYNAMICS OF THE RUSSIAN LABOR MARKET: EFFECTS OF SANCTIONS RESTRICTIONS

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After February 2022, when the sanctions pressure on Russia radically increased, the conditions and factors of development of the national labor market changed significantly. Despite the decrease in the unemployment rate, which reached a minimum for the entire period of observations conducted by Rosstat in accordance with the ILO methodology, the tension in this market did not decrease. Its nature changed. Structural problems came to the fore. The transition of the economy after a relatively short recession to growth led not only to the preservation, but also to an increase in demand for labor. It became so significant that even with the maintenance of labor supply volumes, the problem of labor shortage sharply worsened, becoming a systemic problem. Its main indicators are a record decline in unemployment and an acceleration in the growth rate of vacancies. New priorities for economic development have led to shifts in the employment structure. Regional labor markets, especially those with persistently high unemployment, have received additional impetus for development. In their totality, the sanctions restrictions, coupled with changes in economic policy as a response to increased geopolitical challenges, have led to a change in the functioning of the Russian labor market. Statistical analysis allows us to assess the scale and nature of these changes, but the question of how sustainable they are remains open.

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D.I. Ushkalova

ESCALATION OF SANCTIONS PRESSURE: NEW RISKS FOR RUSSIA’S FOREIGN TRADE

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The article examines the specifics of the escalation of sanctions pressure on Russia in 2024 and its impact on Russian foreign trade. It is shown that the current modification of the sanctions policy of unfriendly countries, implemented since the end of 2023, is aimed at finally “disconnecting” Russia from the commodity markets of unfriendly and many neutral countries and is implemented through active opposition to the Russian strategy of circumventing restrictions, including by scaling secondary sanctions, as well as expanding the lists of sanctioned goods, individuals and legal entities. The risks of unwinding the “sanctions spiral” for Russia’s exports and imports are highlighted, taking into account the global markets conditions.

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V.V. Dorzhieva

PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY OF THE EAEU: IMPACT OF EXTERNAL SHOCKS AND PROSPECTS FOR ACHIEVING TECHNOLOGICAL SOVEREIGNTY

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The article presents the results of the analysis of the main trends and features of the strategic partnership of the EAEU countries in the pharmaceutical industry. The influence of external shocks on the development of the pharmaceutical industry and the common market of medicines in the EAEU is analyzed. It is shown that the pharmaceutical industry is characterized by high sensitivity to external shocks and is very dependent on imports. The main problems of import substitution in the industry under study and the measures taken at the supranational level to overcome them are presented. The process of industrial cooperation in the field of production and development of pharmaceutical products, as well as the implementation of joint projects included in the “EAEU Industrialization Map”, is analyzed.

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S.V. Kozlova

TRANSFORMATION OF STATE PROPERTY MANAGEMENT INSTITUTIONS: RESULTS OF 2022-2024 (PART II)

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The article presents the results of the analysis of transformational changes in the state sub-program “Federal Property Management” over the past few years. Modern trends in state property management through state programs in accordance with the adopted regulations in the period under review are considered in detail. An assessment of institutional changes in the context of achieving national goals of socio-economic development of the country is carried out. The author examined the changes from the standpoint of the criterion - whether the changes in the state subprogram helped its impact on achieving the strategic development goals.

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E.V. Bolgova, S.A. Bolgov, E.V. Cherniaev

DIGITAL INNOVATIONS AND DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES IN THE FORMATION OF THE RESOURCE-SAVING TRANSPORT AND LOGISTICS SYSTEM

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The article analyzes the main indicators of the warehouse real estate market (by federal districts, highlighting the most important subjects). In modern conditions, the development of logistics infrastructure is an important factor in socio-economic development, which determines, among other things, the investment attractiveness of the region. Based on statistical data, the work shows that terminal and warehouse infrastructure plays a particularly significant role in the territories adjacent to megacities. At the same time, in all federal districts, as well as in Moscow and the Moscow region, St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region, the level of available warehouse space varies in the range from 0,1 to 1,7%, which is extremely low and indicates an acute shortage of warehouse space. This means that currently the terminal and warehouse infrastructure throughout almost the entire territory of the country is a factor constraining economic development. At the same time, the results of the analysis can act as a signal for business: investments in the development of terminal and warehouse infrastructure are expected to be profitable and should pay off effectively.

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N.N. Volkova, E.I. Romanyuk 

CONTRIBUTION OF REGIONS TO THE TECHNOLOGICAL SOVEREIGNTY OF THE COUNTRY: USING THE POSSIBILITIES OF STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

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This article is devoted to the study of regional aspects of measuring the level of technological sovereignty. The work talks about the impossibility of achieving sovereignty in a separate region. However, it is possible to conduct a comparative analysis of the contribution of regions to its achievement. The contribution of regions to the formation of technological sovereignty of Russia was assessed on the basis of the aggregated index proposed by the authors in their previous works. In this work, the authors tried to answer the question: to what extent does the system of indicators used to construct various aggregated indices of scientific and technological development reflect the real state of affairs.A comparative analysis of the clustering of regions by two sets of indicators based on data from the same year (2022) showed that the division of regions into clusters, in addition to the variables used in the cluster analysis, has hidden reasons, the identification of which will optimize the policy for managing the scientific and technological development of regions.

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R.V. Gubarev, A.A. Gezalov, E.I. Dzyuba, A.G. Karimov, F.S. Fayzullin

REMUNERATION OF REGIONAL CIVIL SERVANTS IN RUSSIA: PROPOSALS TO INCREASE LABOR

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This study is devoted to the consideration of a methodological approach to collective stimulation of the effective work of regional civil servants. Such an approach will allow the first person of any subject of the Russian Federation to increase the real interest of regional civil servants in sustainable development. Taking into account the multi-subject nature of the Russian Federation, the authors propose to consider and adapt the Singapore model to the realities of our country and establish a direct link between the salaries of civil servants of the executive authorities of the Russian regions and the effectiveness of their activities, expressed in indicators of the socio-economic development of the region. The article presents the results of cluster analysis. All subjects of the Russian Federation, based on the actual value of the index, are distributed into three clusters characterized by above average, average and below average levels of efficiency of the executive authorities. The level of incentives (bonuses) for employees depends on two factors - the direct result of regional management, expressed in the index of socio-economic development of the region, and which cluster the region falls into.

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ISSUES OF ECONOMIC THEORY

 

V.I. Loktionov

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT CHALLENGES: EMERGENCE OF FACTORS OF INCREASING TRANSACTION COSTS

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The transition to a sustainable economy is based on a radical transformation of the institutional environment, any fundamental change of which creates additional economic and political risks for the functioning of economic entities, increases the level of competition between actors for a dominant position in the market and in society. The article attempts to assess the direction, intensity and structure of changes in transaction costs in the process of the current institutional transition. Based on the analysis of changes in the institutional environment caused by the transition to sustainable development, it was revealed that the launch and acceleration of transformation processes lead to the emergence of a number of factors that contribute to the growth of transaction costs. It is shown that the problem of increasing transaction costs and reducing the efficiency of the national economy is particularly relevant for countries that are pioneers of institutional changes, since due to the nature of the current institutional transition, the possibility of them obtaining competitive advantages due to the “pioneer effect” is not obvious and requires additional research. It is concluded that in order to avoid a decrease in the quality of life of the population in countries that have embarked on the path of sustainable development, it is necessary to continue research in the field of analyzing the consequences of the transition and to determine the optimal pace of transition to sustainable economic structures, taking into account the observance of national interests.

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FINANCE

 

D.A. Kochergin, S.A. Andryushin

PROSPECTS FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS IN CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCIES ON A PLATFORM BASIS IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES AND RUSSIA

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The article investigates the main problems, state and development of the system of modern cross-border settlements in the global economy; shows the classification of multilateral platforms of central bank digital currencies through the prism of currency agreements used in cross-border payments; considers models of interoperability of central bank digital currencies and options for access of payment service providers; analyzes international projects of both wholesale and retail multicurrency systems of central bank digital currencies; proposes the author’s version of the Eurasian project of a multicurrency system of central banks, which can increase the efficiency of cross-border payments of the Russian Federation and countries that are its main trading partners.

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WORLD ECONOMY

 

A.N. Liventsev 

GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF SOCIALLY RESPONSIBLE INVESTMENT (SRI): ANALYSIS OF FACTORS MOTIVATING TNCS TO USE SRI STRATEGIES

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The role and positions of TNCs in achieving sustainable development of the world economy are currently at the center of scientific discourse, but at the same time, the emergence of new factors affecting the world economy entails the need for an in-depth analysis of new directions in the activities of TNCs, which include socially responsible investment (SRI). The article considers the global dynamics of SRI volumes; factors motivating TNCs to apply SRI practices; factors influencing the dynamics of SRI in Russia; the advantages of SRI practices in the activities of TNCs.

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